Through its research programme, NZ Transport Agency Waka Kotahi (NZTA) invests in innovative and relevant research which plays a critical role in contributing to the government's goals for transport.

The results of NZTA research must be readily applicable to interventions that can be cost effectively applied in New Zealand in the short-to-medium term for longer-term impacts. This page lists all active NZTA research programme projects and is updated as research is completed.

For further information, you can either:

For information on any of these projects, please contact the research organisation directly or email research@nzta.govt.nz.

Key research areas

The projects listed below are currently active. They are arranged according to five outcomes in the sector’s outcome framework.

Overarching
Economic prosperity
Environmental sustainability
Healthy and safe people
Inclusive access
Resilience and security

Overarching

There are no active projects under this topic.

Economic prosperity

To support economic activity via local, regional and international connections with efficient movements of people and products.

  • Non-marginal cost-benefit analysis and its application to transport projects/schemes in New Zealand

    Year commissioned

    Project title

    Researcher

    Indicative delivery

    2024/25

    Non-marginal cost-benefit analysis and its application to transport projects/schemes in New Zealand

    Principal Economics

    February 2026

    Purpose and objectives:

    Research to:

    1.  gain an understanding of what are the important characteristics of transport transformational projects/schemes,

    2.  identify the important theoretical concepts, principles and methods for carrying out non-marginal cost-benefit analysis as it applies to transport, and

    3.  determine when it is appropriate to apply the concepts, principles and methods for carrying out non-marginal cost-benefit analysis.

    The objectives of the research are:

    1.  to define what are the important characteristics of non-marginal cost-benefit analysis as applied to large-scale transformational projects/schemes,

    2.  identify the important concepts, principles and methods that can be applied,

    3.  under what circumstances or conditions non-marginal cost-benefit analysis can be applied to transport projects/schemes, and

    4.  application of the findings to a case study.

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  • Quantifying the public and private benefits of public transport

    Year commissioned

    Project title

    Researcher

    Indicative delivery

    2024/25

    Quantifying the public and private benefits of public transport

    Principal Economics

    February 2026

    Purpose and objectives:

    Research to develop a robust and repeatable methodology to quantify the public and private benefits of public transport investment in New Zealand. The objectives of this research are to:

    Part A.

    1.  Comprehensively quantify the benefits of public transport to regions and New Zealand using methods that support quantitative measurement and valuation where possible.

    2.  Identify the distribution of benefits, including private and public benefits.

    Part B.

    3.  Develop the means for sector stakeholders to apply the research findings.

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  • Third-party revenue and private share funding of public transport

    Year commissioned

    Project title

    Researcher

    Indicative delivery

    2024/25

    Third-party revenue and private share funding of public transport

    Resolve Group

    February 2026

    Purpose and objectives:

    Research to identify opportunities to maximise third party revenue and other funding sources to contribute to the costs of public transport and develop actionable methods for collecting this revenue and funding.

    The objectives of the research are to:

    1.  Identity third-party revenue and other funding sources that add to funding from ratepayers and taxpayers and fare and appropriateness of funding sources.

    2.  Understand the potential funding and costs, including net return after costs that could be generated from growing third-party revenue sources and any other funding sources across different locations, markets and time horizons.

    3.  Identify market dynamics, barriers, value propositions and strategies to generating revenue from third parties and other funding sources, providing practical tools and guidance for practitioners relevant to different locations nationally.

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  • Transport benefit framework review

    Year commissioned

    Project title

    Researcher

    Indicative delivery

    2024/25

    Transport benefit framework review

    NZIER

    December 2025

    Purpose and objectives:

    A comprehensive assessment the transport benefit framework to determine:

    a. whether the existing benefits, measures and measurement methodologies are appropriate and fit for purpose. This includes assessing and updating benefits, measures and methodologies.

    b. Identifying gaps and opportunities to enhance and extend the existing framework into new or different areas.

    The objectives of the research are:

    a. To carry out a comprehensive assessment of Waka Kotahi’s transport benefit management and this should include an assessment as to whether the existing benefits, measures and methodologies need to be updated and/or modified.

    b. Identify gaps and opportunities to enhance and extend the framework to include new or different benefits, measures and methodology such as those relating to transport’s contribution to economic growth, how to assess the successful integration between spatial land use planning and transport planning, distribution of transport outcomes and future factors and trends that could impact on the transport network.

    c. Assess and determine whether the benefit framework can help to both prioritise investment decisions and assess and track whether the benefits impacts are realised.

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  • Variability in transport investment costs and mitigations

    Year commissioned

    Project title

    Researcher

    Indicative delivery

    2023/24

    Variability in transport investment costs and mitigations

    Resolve Group

    Editing

    Purpose and objectives:

    The purpose of this research is to examine the variability of capital and lifecycle costs across common transport investments, to identify (if possible) the factors that cause differences and to propose how to minimise or mitigate these factors during planning and investment phases.

    Stage 1.

    • Collect and clean cost data for common types of transport investment.
    • Quantify any observable patterns in differences in transport investment costs across common investment types.

    Stage 2. (Once suitable data is sourced from Stage 1).

    • Identify the factors behind the cost differences.
    • Propose mitigations for cost differences for planning and investment purposes.
    • Look at the relationship between capital and lifecycle investment costs.
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Environmental sustainability

To transition to net zero carbon emissions and maintain or improve biodiversity, water quality and air quality.

  • How effective are transport-related ecological interventions?
    Year commissioned Project title Researcher Indicative delivery

    2019/20

    How effective are transport-related ecological interventions?

    Wildland Consultants Ltd

    Publication pending

    Purpose and objectives:

    The purpose of this research is to assess the following for roading projects in New Zealand:

    1. Whether significant ecological effects are being appropriately identified.
    2. Whether ecological management plans identify appropriate avoidance or mitigation actions
    3. Whether recommended avoidance or mitigation actions are successfully implemented
    4. Whether recommended avoidance or mitigation options are appropriately monitored.

    A Gap analysis will be undertaken that assesses the ‘state of play’ of roading ecological interventions. The Gap analysis will also identify the residual between what ecological interventions are achieving and what they are required to achieve to meet obligations under the Resource Management Act (1991) and the Wildlife Act (1953).

    This research will address the knowledge gap around the effectiveness of ecological interventions made by the transport sector when carrying out infrastructure projects and maintenance and operational activities. The magnitude and severity of an impact on ecological values depends not only on the nature of the roading or activity project but also on the effectiveness of the interventions implemented.

    The first objective of this research is to review what the known ecological effects of roading projects have been in New Zealand since (and including) the Northern Gateway project. This will include reviewing the nature, extent and success of ecological interventions undertaken to remedy, mitigate ecological effects. The review will consider:

    1. What components of the ecosystem were affected (e.g. terrestrial, marine freshwater, vegetation, fauna, specific taxonomic groups)?
    2. What ecological management was applied to minimise these effects?
    3. What evidence is there that ecological management minimised the ecological effects?
    4. How was this ecological management monitored?
    5. Was this monitoring sufficient to determine whether ecological management was successful?

    The second objective of this research is to use data from the review in a Gap analysis that will determine the actual performance of ecological interventions. This will be assessed against ecological criteria, and within the context of the Resource Management Act (1991).

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  • The impacts of and the opportunity to provide holistic improvements to fish passage and natural watercourse drainage/crossing assets
    Year commissioned Project title Researcher Indicative delivery

    2021/22

    The impacts of and the opportunity to provide holistic improvements to fish passage and natural watercourse drainage/crossing assets

    WSP New Zealand Ltd

    Editing

    Purpose and objectives:

    The purpose of the research is to provide a tool which leads to improved ecological outcomes where fish passage may be impeded by instream infrastructure around the roading network. The tool will support remediation investment prioritisation to improve fish passage enhancing biodiversity and ecosystem connectivity outcomes for catchments impacted by infrastructures on the transport network.

    To support understanding of how the objectives can be achieved through our proposed programme, we have expanded on the provided objectives:

    a.  Understand the spatial aspect and scale of fish passage requirements (both number of locations and remedial cost) as it relates to land transport (state highways, local roads, rail)

    • Collate existing datasets on instream infrastructure to provide, information on the number and type of structures and how they may be impacting fish populations, and present barriers to increasing cultural and ecological value.
    • Use the existing datasets to begin to qualitatively assess which catchments are the best candidates to invest in infrastructure remediation funding to achieve the greatest cultural and ecological benefits.
    • Use existing datasets to estimate cost for fish passage remediation (both capital and where available operational cost) for a suite of standardised interventions.

    b.  Develop a method and tool for the holistic prioritisation of remediation

    • Use proven methods and models for different risk management or prioritisation objectives to develop a tool for prioritisation of instream infrastructure remediation funding considering Te Mana o Te Wai.
    • Undertake field validity testing of the prioritisation tool.

    c.  Develop a toolbox of standardised interventions

    • Develop a menu of standard interventions to improve fish passage, with information related to their suitability for differing waterway environments, ecosystem objectives, price, whole-of-life and operational / maintenance requirements.
    • Integrate the process of choosing the intervention option(s) with the prioritisation tool.
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  • Determining the health risks and ecological impacts of particulate matter arising from vehicle brake and tyre wear and road surface dust – Stage 2 – Sensitivity Analysis and Source Apportionment Assessment
    Year commissioned Project title Researcher Indicative delivery

    2022/23

    Determining the health risks and ecological impacts of particulate matter arising from vehicle brake and tyre wear and road surface dust – Stage 2 – Sensitivity Analysis and Source Apportionment Assessment

    NIWA

    Publication pending

    Purpose and objectives:

    The purpose of our research is to continue the work begun in project TAR 19-17, updating what is currently known about non-exhaust particulate emissions (NEE) from vehicles in New Zealand.

    This work will complete the ‘Tranche 1’ recommendations as outlined in the previous report, namely to:

    • Undertake a sensitivity analysis of selected air models that use emission factors (EFs) to get an understanding of how the choice of emission factors affects model outputs
    • A re-analysis of existing air quality data held by GNS Science to apportion airborne PM from traffic to vehicles and to determine the needs for any further monitoring in Stage 4 of the research.
    • The outcome of the sensitivity analysis will be used to guide the decision on whether to continue with further stages of the research, while the interim estimates of PM10 and PM2.5 EFs could either confirm or replace existing EFs.Ultimately, the purpose is to determine whether current emission factors are adequate for the purposes they are used for, and if not, whether existing data can be used to generate improved emission factors.The objectives of this research are:
    • Determine the magnitude of the impact non-exhaust EFs have in air quality modelling, by undertaking a sensitivity analysis.#Survey existing source apportionment data to determine what detailed analysis is possible that will help to ground truth current non-exhaust EFs. The proposed analysis will become the work for Stage 3 of the research.
    • Determine the need for any further monitoring in Stage 4 of the research, assuming Stage 3 provides the anticipated results. If there is a need, to describe what kind of monitoring would need to be undertaken.
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  • Evaluating different approaches to Low Emission Zones around the world

    Year commissioned

    Project title

    Researcher

    Indicative delivery

    2023/24

    Evaluating different approaches to Low Emission Zones around the world

    Beca

    Publication pending

    Purpose and objectives:

    This research will provide directly transferable evidence to New Zealand, on how different cities around the world have implemented Low and Zero Emission Zones and the advantages or disadvantages of the different approaches.

    The 2016 study of Health and Air Pollution in New Zealand found that just over 80% of New Zealanders are exposed to poor quality air, with persisting higher rates for Pasifika New Zealanders. As New Zealand becomes increasingly urbanised more and more people are likely become exposed to poor air quality from vehicle emissions.

    Low emission zones have been an effective tool in improving air quality and people's health in a number of cities across the world, there are hundreds of examples across many countries in Europe and Asia that we can learn from to develop our understanding and craft appropriate legislation.

    To make the most out of this important research project, it is important to establish and agree clear objectives. We have grouped the knowledge gaps and study objectives described in the Consultancy Service Order into four areas: Health, Climate, Social and Design. Each with the objectives as set out below.

    Health: To understand the effectiveness of low emission zones as a tool to target better outcomes for peoples’ health.

    Climate: To understand the effectiveness of low emission zones as a tool to target environmental impacts.

    Social: To understand levels of public acceptability / social license to low emission zones as well as how equity aspects have been considered.

    Design: Distil the lessons learnt regarding development, design, implementation and monitoring of schemes, including advantages and disadvantages of charging emissions intensive vehicles from low emission zones versus prohibiting access.

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  • Noise disturbance from individual vehicles
    Year commissioned Project title Researcher Indicative delivery

    2019/20

    Noise disturbance from individual vehicles

    Altissimo Consulting Ltd

    Editing

    Purpose and objectives:

    Our research will deliver a better understanding of the significance of noise from individual vehicles compared to average levels from steady traffic, and how road layout features influence noise generation. We will establish a consistent framework for monitoring, assessing, and predicting individual vehicle noise and other nuisance noise. This framework will assist Waka Kotahi to assess projects and design elements on a consistent basis. This framework will also allow for the implementation of appropriate interventions to reduce effects.

    The result of this improved understanding and assessment framework will be to more effectively evaluate and design roading features, such that noise effects will be reduced. The reduced noise effects will result in improved amenity for residents near roads, and a reduced risk of health effects from road-traffic noise, particularly sleep disturbance.

    The end goal of our research is to provide Waka Kotahi and the wider community with better knowledge and tools resulting in is reduced harm and a better living environment for people adjacent the state highway network.

    The first objective of our research is to summarise known issues of noise from engine braking, and vehicles driving over bridge joints and Audio Tactile Profile (ATP) linemarking. This objective will yield an understanding of the prevalence and effect of these noise sources. This will largely be performed by a meta-analysis of existing NZ studies, and will be supplemented with the measurement results in this research project. The primary mechanisms resulting in these noise events are understood, but the evidence needs to be collated and formalized to inform decisions and policy.

    The second objective of our research is to address the lack of standardized approaches for predicting the level or impact of sounds from individual vehicles and sound arising from surface features. We understand that this research should address noise from vehicles traversing road design features such as:

    • roundabouts
    • corners
    • intersections (controlled and uncontrolled)
    • gradients
    • traffic calming devices

    and noise from road surface features such as:

    • bridge joints
    • surface joints
    • rumble strip (ATP linemarkings)
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  • Direct mortality from roads on native birds: species and sites
    Year commissioned Project title Researcher Indicative delivery

    2021/22

    Direct mortality from roads on native birds: species and sites

    Manaaki Whenua (Landcare Research)

    Editing

    Purpose and objectives:

    The purpose of this research topic is to identify native bird species and road sites in New Zealand that exemplify possibly significant mortality by vehicle strike and to develop and test a method to assess rates of road kill. This shall provide the crucial first step in addressing the knowledge gap regarding impacts of direct mortality from roads on native bird populations.

     

    The objectives of this research are:

    1. Undertake a literature review to:
      1. detail overseas methods and best practice regarding survey design and methodology
      2. provide an overview of current best practice roadkill mitigation techniques from New Zealand and overseas.
    2. Undertake desktop investigation to ascertain what bird species and road sites in New Zealand exemplify possibly significant mortality by vehicle strike and what species traits and site attributes characterise the above examples.
    3. Develop a method to ascertain rates of roadkill that can be applied in New Zealand.
    4. Test the method in the field forming case studies and selecting species and sites from the literature review.
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  • Environmental and accessibility transport appraisal methodology – an alternative transport appraisal methodology
    Year commissioned Project title Researcher Indicative delivery
    2023/24 Environmental and accessibility transport appraisal methodology – an alternative transport appraisal methodology Principal Economics Limited Publication pending
    Purpose and objectives:

    The purpose of this proposed research is to investigate, develop, and test an alternative transport appraisal methodology within an accessibility framework. The study aims to address the reduction of vehicle kilometres travelled, greenhouse gas emissions, and facilitating mode shift, in alignment with the requirements of the New Zealand Emission Reduction Plan (ERP). By exploring alternative methodologies and conducting case studies, the research seeks to provide a comprehensive understanding and actionable insights for the development of a new approach to transport appraisal that prioritises government policies, as expressed in the ERP.

    The objectives of the research are:

    • To investigate and develop a transport appraisal methodology that prioritises the reduction of vehicle kilometres travelled, and greenhouse gas emissions, and facilitates mode shift within an accessibility framework.
    • To identify and outline the key elements of environmental and accessibility transport methodologies, including the economic, transport and other concepts, principles, and data required for the appraisal methodology.
    • To specify and describe the data collection methods necessary for implementing the alternative transport appraisal methodology, incorporating surveys, economic analysis, econometric modelling, mathematical principles, and other relevant approaches.
    • Demonstrate the practical application of the developed transport appraisal methodology using case studies, to illustrate its effectiveness and potential impact.
    This project requires a comprehensive literature review to assess existing approaches and methodologies adopted in other jurisdictions, considering both published and grey literature, and synthesising current research and practitioner perspectives.
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  • Planning and policy settings for developers to integrate housing development with transport

    Year commissioned

    Project title

    Researcher

    Indicative delivery

    2023/24

    Planning and policy settings for developers to integrate housing development with transport

    Arup New Zealand

    Editing

    Purpose and objectives:

    The focus of this research will be on assessing current considerations for housing developers and how these could be improved for:

    • Aligning public policy transport objectives with commercial considerations when making development decisions and the transport implications of these decisions.
    • What transport costs of housing development are considered by developers, and how might the whole of life transport private, public and social costs be better appropriately considered and apportioned between developers, public and private parties.
    • What are the policy and planning settings that incentivise housing developers to:
      • Increase medium density development.
      • Increase mixed use.
      • Build at higher density.
      • Build in more public transport accessible locations.
      • Increases the synergistic combination of the above.
      • Deliver the above at scale.
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  • Real world private light vehicle fuel consumption
    Year commissioned Project title Researcher Indicative delivery

    2025/26

    Real world private light vehicle fuel consumption

    WSP Ltd

    June 2026

    Purpose and objectives:

    Research to investigate and test methods to obtain real-world private light vehicle fuel efficiency data for the New Zealand fleet to improve emissions estimates and demonstrate a proof of concept.

    The objectives of the research are:

    • Gain an understanding of existing data available that could be useful in determining real-world fuel efficiency of private vehicles in New Zealand
    • Investigate repeatable methods to measure and report on real world fuel efficiency of private vehicles
    • Discuss the suitability of these methods for collecting fuel efficiency information in New Zealand for private vehicles.
    • d. Test and validate methods to obtain more realistic and representative data on the real-world-fuel efficiency of New Zealand private light vehicles
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Healthy and safe people

To protect people from transport-related injuries and harmful pollution and make physically active travel an attractive option.

  • Community exposure to unsealed road-dust emissions
    Year commissioned Project title Researcher Indicative delivery

    2019/20

    Community exposure to unsealed road-dust emissions

    Tonkin + Taylor

    Publication pending

    Purpose and objectives:

    Our research will build on existing data to deliver a better understanding of the health and social impacts of community exposure to dust from unsealed roads in New Zealand.

    Our research will aim to:

    • Collect field data to enable the development of dust emission factors specific to New
    • Zealand road surface materials
    • Develop methods for:
      • estimating unsealed road dust emissions
      • determining community exposure to dust
      • assigning relative dust risk categories to road segments (building on existing tools)
    • Develop specific dose-response relationships and economic models to quantify the health and non-health costs of exposure to dust from unsealed roads
    • Deliver a practical and readily updatable tool that integrates all of these elements and allows the spatially resolved model outputs to be presented as both maps and data tables.

    The outputs from our research will assist Waka Kotahi NZ Transport Agency (Waka Kotahi), policy-makers and regulators in understanding and contextualising the impacts of dust from unsealed roads and provide a practical tool for road controlling authorities and other stakeholders to evaluate priorities and quantify the benefits of road sealing.

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  • Suicide prevention interventions on the transport network
    Year commissioned Project title Researcher Indicative delivery
    2023/24 Suicide prevention interventions on the transport network Boutique Insights Ltd Publication pending
    Purpose and objectives:

    The primary purpose of this research is to identify, from national and international literature, infrastructure-based suicide prevention interventions pertaining to ‘fall from heights’ suicides on transportation networks and the evidence for their effectiveness, including the identification of any displacement behaviour.

    The secondary purpose of this research is to identify from national and international sources, patterns of observable potentially suicidal behaviour that could be used by network operators observing CCTV footage (especially from Auckland locations) to identify people at risk of suicide on motorway bridges and to determine whether this type of training has been used effectively elsewhere to prevent suicide attempts. These findings will feed into the design of network operator training.

    The objectives of the research are:

    1. To investigate both national and international literature/evidence to identify and understand the effectiveness of infrastructure interventions that can be implemented to prevent suicides (ie fall from heights, unauthorised accessing) on the road network, with a specific focus on Auckland’s road network and motorway bridges.
    2. To identify whether there are patterns of behaviour that could be detected by those monitoring the transport network that indicate if a person on the network is an increased suicide risk and whether this strategy of pre-emptive identification is used by other jurisdictions internationally.
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Inclusive access

To enable all people to participate in society through access to social and economic opportunities such as work, education and healthcare.

  • Māori experiences and expectations of the transport system in Aotearoa New Zealand
    Year commissioned Project title Researcher Indicative delivery

    2022/23

    Māori experiences and expectations of the transport system in Aotearoa New Zealand

    WSP New Zealand

    Publication pending

    Purpose and objectives:

    Hāpaitia te ara tika pūmau ai te rangatiratanga mō ngā uri whakatupu - WSP Māori Services Rautaki Māori foster mana-enhancing partnerships by collaborating with Iwi and Mana Whenua to support Māori environmental, economic and cultural wellbeing. This research seeks to give expression to Waka Kotahi treaty partnership with Māori by identifying Māori experiences, expectations and priorities for transport from a Kaupapa Māori Theory framework so to inform the development of key agency responses and help build capability within agencies for appropriate outcomes for Māori.

    The objectives of this research are to understand:

    1. How Māori perceive the transport system in Aotearoa (e.g., as a whole system, a set of infrastructure, a way to get from A to B or something that provides access to opportunity, etc) and why have these perceptions come about?
    2. How are Māori impacted by the transport system day by day (as Māori, distinct from other factors, positively and negatively and how are these impacts changing over time?
    3. How are Māori responding to government priorities for transport, such as the road to zero strategy and mode shift?
    4. What are Māori expectations and priorities for transport, now and in the short, medium, and long-term future?
    5. What are the gaps between Māori expectations and priorities for transport and their current experiences?
    6. What are the gaps in data and other evidence that can be used to characterise Māori experiences and impacts on them of the transport system?
    7. What responses are required to close data and evidence gaps, and how would these responses be prioritised by Māori?
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  • Mobility as a Service (MaaS) - what are the benefits and how do you realise these?
    Year commissioned Project title Researcher Indicative delivery

    2022/23

    Mobility as a Service (MaaS) - what are the benefits and how do you realise these?

    Trip Convergence Ltd

    Editing

    Purpose and objectives:

    The purpose of the research is to inform policy making by the Ministry of Transport and Waka Kotahi by

    • providing a critical review of the popular concept referred to as Mobility as a Service (MaaS) based on overseas experience of trials and deployments,
    • exploring the potential for MaaS in the New Zealand context,
    • determining the extent to which different types of incentives, delivered to transportation system users through MaaS, might bring about significant mode shift away from single occupant vehicle (SOV) driving, achieving emissions reduction, and equitable inclusive access, and
    • proposing a policy pathway to implementation.

    The objectives of the research are:

    1. A comprehensive understanding of the global MaaS experience to date, the context in which trials and deployments were implemented, the different models of deployment (including use of incentives and role of government), the range of benefits achieved (including but not limited to equity, inclusive access, mode shift, emissions reduction), the barriers encountered, and lessons learned, especially in terms of developing the MaaS offering, enticing mobility providers, sharing revenue, and achieving a minimum viable MaaS product offering.
    2. A comprehensive understanding of the New Zealand context that a MaaS implementation would sit within, considering (but not limited to) transportation equity, national emissions reduction objectives, existing mobility services, patterns of household vehicle ownership and use, and existing and planned policies (such as congestion pricing and fleet electrification) that might have an impact on the success of a MaaS implementation.
    3. A comprehensive understanding of the potential for incentives to deliver mode shift in New Zealand, nationally, by region, for a target corridor, and within relevant demographic groupings, exposing people’s propensity to travel by means other than SOV driving at different levels (within types) of incentive, and by different alternative modes and times, and the costs implied for different levels of desired impact, both to initiate change and to sustain it.
    4. A synthesis that brings together the results of the above three objectives of 1) the MaaS experience, 2) the New Zealand context, and 3) the potential for incentives to deliver mode shift, delivering a set of policy recommendations related to the implementation of MaaS, with incentives, in New Zealand, and the expected impact of implementing the recommendations.
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  • An enhanced, nationally consistent, travel mode choice model

    Year commissioned

    Project title

    Researcher

    Indicative delivery

    2023/24

    An enhanced, nationally consistent, travel mode choice model

    Data Analysis Australia Pty Ltd

    Publication pending

    Purpose and objectives:

    Public Transport (PT) and active travel modes among network users are considered the most sustainable and low carbon form of ways to travel among locations. However, Waka Kotahi NZ Transport Agency identified that the current national transport model does not forecast PT and walking and cycling uptake during investment planning phases—with consequent uncertainty as to the outcomes of these metrics. Behavioural variables, such as attitude, improved the predictive validity of disaggregate choice models (Ben-Akiva et al., 1999). Many latest studies have found that attitudes are strong predictors of the chosen travel mode, even stronger than, for instance, the built environment and residential location (De Vos et al., 2016; Hess et al., 2018; Ton et al., 2020). However, limited transport models have included such behavioural variables, and if included in current modelling, tend to rely on fuzzy estimations only, thereby impairing their predictive power. Moreover, current evidence suggests that contemporary modelling tends to be precise but not necessarily accurate when it comes to predicting travel mode choices in the future. Emerging science and transport psychology offer the prospect of substantively improving modelling and forecasting, providing more informed investment planning and decision-making. The knowledge gaps of current transport models recognised by the Waka Kotahi NZ Transport Agency as follows:

    1. Current regional-level models have limited mode share capability and there is no evident standardised approach for modelling, data collection, or accuracy requirements, either in Aotearoa/New Zealand or internationally.

    2. The vast majority of mode choice modelling focuses only on:

    i. single-trip

    ii. single-mode

    iii. single-trip-purpose, and

    iv. single-person-type

    3. Therefore, often omitting multi-leg, multi-purpose journeys and a broad spectrum of users.

    4. Interviews with practitioners and analysis of existing models revealed that behavioural variables are often only fuzzy estimations due to a historic dearth of behavioural data.

    5. Finally, a reliance on generalised costs elements of time, distance, and financial cost with elements such as transfer penalties provide only coarse calibration—while simultaneously omitting substantive user-related variables that verifiably have an influence on travel mode choice.

    Our team brings together experts on transport, psychology of decision-making, discrete choice modelling, and data analysis, and covers scales from individual people to systems. Our goal is to use this expertise to build a “joined together” hybrid model that uses robust objective and psychological variables to predict journey choice. A key consideration is how people make choices involving multi-mode journey options, where there is the potential for complex interactions or trade-offs between factors: a journey involving cycling may not be preferred by the same people who like to cycle if an automobile is involved and conflicts with attitudes to cars.

    To fill in the knowledge gaps discussed above, we propose the following research objectives:

    1. Develop a review of the current and emerging scientific and transport literature pertaining to the substantive drivers or variables behind travel mode choice as they apply to:

    i. multi-modal, multi-leg, multi-user journeys, and critical journeys

    ii. interaction effects among these variables.

    2. Develop a rationalised set of data inputs is required, in addition to a critique of said inputs that may be used to enhance future data quality and data gathering efforts.

    3. Develop standardised procedures that enable actors around Aotearoa/New Zealand to coordinate efforts and share comparable findings.

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Resilience and security

To minimise and manage the risk from natural and human-made hazards, anticipate and adapt to emerging threats and recover effectively from disruptive events.

  • Identification of strategic vulnerabilities in freight

    Year commissioned

    Project title

    Researcher

    Indicative delivery

    2023/24

    Identification of strategic vulnerabilities in freight

    Principal Economics Limited

    Publication pending

    Purpose and objectives:

    The purpose of this research is two parts: Firstly, to identify significant vulnerabilities within the national transport network which could cause disruptions to the national freight network, impact on strategic supply chains and result in significant costs to end users. Secondly, to address mitigations activities which are currently, or could be, used to reduce or eliminate the vulnerabilities in part one.

    The objectives of the project are to:

    a)    To identify significant vulnerabilities within the national transport network which could cause disruptions to the national freight network, impact on strategic supply chains and result in significant costs to end users.

    b)    To address mitigations activities which are currently, or could be, used to reduce or eliminate the vulnerabilities.

    The analysis should include important nodes (eg, ports) and linkages (eg, roads) in the freight system and needs to predict what would happen to supply chains if they were unusable for a period.

    The outcome of this project will inform the need for hardening or building redundancy into the freight system.

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  • Climate change interventions to reduce carbon and greenhouse gases – behavioural and economic instruments to effect mode change
    Year commissioned Project title Researcher Indicative delivery

    2021/22

    Climate change interventions to reduce carbon and greenhouse gases – behavioural and economic instruments to effect mode change

    Principal Economics Limited

    Publication pending

    Purpose and objectives:

    Research to understand how and to what extent the generalised cost between private vehicles and public transport/active modes need to change for mode shift to occur in New Zealand's three largest urban areas – Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch. Building on this, the research will consider the sequencing of the implementation of effective mode shift measures in these urban areas. The objectives of the research are: 

    a.    assess and determine the generalised costs necessary to facilitate mode shift from cars/light passenger vehicles to public transport and other active modes for Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch to reduce carbon/GHG emissions.

    b.    assess the different types of policy instruments that can be used to change the generalised costs between modes for Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch to reduce carbon/GHG emissions.

    c.    an assessment of the effectiveness of identified pricing policy/instruments to reduce carbon/GHG emissions and their socio-economic impacts, including equity/distributional impacts in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch.

    d.    identify and assess how to sequence mode shift policy instruments to reduce carbon/GHG emissions in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch.

    e.    assess the types and quality of public transport that needs to be provided before and after the implementation of road charging/pricing systems in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch.

    f.     assess the public transport fare structure that needs to be implemented prior to and after the implementation of road charging/pricing in Auckland, Wellington and Christchurch.

    g.    quantify the estimated range of carbon/GHG emissions of implementing the various policy approaches.

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